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Closing hospital emergency departments does not lead to more deaths

13 Aug 2018

  • Study provides first insight into the impact of closing emergency departments on both patients and other emergency services
  • Research found no reliable evidence that closure of emergency departments led to more deaths
  • But closing emergency departments and re-organising emergency services didn’t improve outcomes for patients either

The closure of emergency departments does not lead to more deaths, a new study from the University of Sheffield has found.

The research, which analysed five emergency departments (EDs) in England that were downgraded between 2009 and 2011, found there was no impact on death rates upward or downward, despite patients having to travel further to access emergency care.

In recent years a number of EDs have been closed or downgraded to day time services only treating minor problems, with NHS planners often citing reasons of inadequate staffing and safety concerns. However, until now there was little research evidence to support the decisions about closing EDs.

With further closures planned, the report funded and published by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), provides an insight into the implications for patients and emergency care providers, giving the NHS and policymakers evidence to inform decisions about future closures.

Emma Knowles from the School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR) at University of Sheffield, said: “The public, in particular, require reassurance that the closure or downgrade of an ED does not result in increased death rates.

“The report suggests that any negative effects caused by an increase in journey time to an ED can be offset by other factors. For example, if new specialised services are introduced or if the care received at the now nearest hospital is more effective than that provided at the hospital where the ED closed.”

The study’s co-author, Professor Jon Nicholl, also from ScHARR, said: “It is important to highlight that we didn’t find the better outcomes for patients that planners hoped to see from closing these small departments either.

“This means it isn’t clear that the disruption and anxiety that can be caused by closing emergency departments is worthwhile.”

The study, which evaluated Newark, Rochdale, Hartlepool, Bishop Auckland and Hemel Hempstead both two years prior and two years after the EDs were downgraded, found evidence to suggest an increase in emergency ambulance incidents across the five areas. The increase was above and beyond the national increase which suggests the ED closures may have contributed to a higher workload within these areas.

Researchers also revealed  strong evidence to suggest that residents who now have further to travel due to the closure of their local ED faced a longer time between them making a 999 call and arriving at hospital (9.1 minutes) compared to those whose distance changed the least.

“There is a national trend towards increasing levels of attendances at EDs and emergency hospital admissions. However, our study did not find consistent evidence that the impact of the ED closures exacerbated this trend,” added Emma.

“Without doubt, emergency care is expensive. The average cost of an A&E visit was £138 in 2015/16 and the cost of an unplanned inpatient stay was £1,609. The closure or downgrade of an ED may have financial implications but our study did not look at the economic consequences of these closures, and further research now needs to be conducted to examine this important aspect of the reorganisation on the emergency and urgent care system.”

Future studies analysing the wider health system and economic impact should now be considered including whether closing EDs has an impact on primary care.

To view the full study please visit: https://www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk/hsdr/hsdr06270/#/abstract

To learn more about the School of Health and Related Research, please visit: https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/scharr

Additional Information

The University of Sheffield

With almost 29,000 of the brightest students from over 140 countries, learning alongside over 1,200 of the best academics from across the globe, the University of Sheffield is one of the world’s leading universities.

A member of the UK’s prestigious Russell Group of leading research-led institutions, Sheffield offers world-class teaching and research excellence across a wide range of disciplines.

Unified by the power of discovery and understanding, staff and students at the university are committed to finding new ways to transform the world we live in.

Sheffield is the only university to feature in The Sunday Times 100 Best Not-For-Profit Organisations to Work For 2018 and for the last eight years has been ranked in the top five UK universities for Student Satisfaction by Times Higher Education.

Sheffield has six Nobel Prize winners among former staff and students and its alumni go on to hold positions of great responsibility and influence all over the world, making significant contributions in their chosen fields.

Global research partners and clients include Boeing, Rolls-Royce, Unilever, AstraZeneca, Glaxo SmithKline, Siemens and Airbus, as well as many UK and overseas government agencies and charitable foundations.

National Institute for Health Research (NIHR)

The National Institute for Health Research (NIHR): improving the health and wealth of the

nation through research.

Established by the Department of Health and Social Care, the NIHR:

  • funds high quality research to improve health
  • trains and supports health researchers
  • provides world-class research facilities
  • works with the life sciences industry and charities to benefit all
  • involves patients and the public at every step.

For further information, visit the NIHR website www.nihr.ac.uk

Patient Data Citation – This work uses data provided by patients and collected by the NHS as part of their care and support and would not have been possible without access to this data. The NIHR recognises and values the role of patient data, securely accessed and stored, both in underpinning and leading to improvements in research and care. Read more

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